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Home»Current Affairs»Oil Prices Top $100 for First Time Since July as Gulf War Bites
Current Affairs

Oil Prices Top $100 for First Time Since July as Gulf War Bites

Aishatu OsisanyaBy Aishatu OsisanyaSeptember 10, 20264 Mins Read
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Crude Oil Production Dropped By 3,000 Barrels Per Day In January 2024 - OPEC
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LAGOS, Nigeria. (Voice Of Naija) Oil prices surged past $100 per barrel on Wednesday, September 9, for the first time since July.

This startling development is rattling global equity markets, stoking fresh inflation fears, and underlining how fragile the world’s energy supply chain has become after seven months of the US-Iran Gulf war and escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure.

Schwab Market Watch confirmed Brent crude’s breach of the $100 mark, describing it as the result of “geopolitical pressures” following “more overnight strikes in the Persian Gulf.”

The report noted the move “pushed stocks down again after Tuesday’s slide” as investors braced for a closely watched US Treasury auction and awaited Thursday’s Producer Price Index data, a key inflation gauge that now carries extra weight given the oil spike.

Australia’s ABC News live markets blog on Thursday, September 10, confirms the ripple effect was immediate and global. Australia’s ASX 200 index, one of the first major markets to open after Wall Street’s close, shed approximately $32 billion in value by the close of Thursday’s session, its worst single trading day in six months.

According to The ABC’s, the $100 oil price is reminding investors of what analysts called the “lingering stagflationary tail risk”: the danger that sustained high energy prices simultaneously choke economic growth while pushing inflation higher, the worst possible combination for central banks already grappling with post-pandemic price pressures and Gulf war disruptions.

ALSO READ: Tropical Storm Edouard Threatens US Gulf Coast

The oil price surge arrived on the same day that Saudi Arabia confirmed Houthi rebel attacks on its Aramco facilities and four cities in the kingdom’s south, announced overnight.

Earlier in the week, the Houthis had formally declared a blockade on Saudi Red Sea shipping.

Together, the attacks on land and sea have placed two of the world’s most critical energy export corridors, the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandab Strait, under simultaneous military threat for the first time in modern history.

The $100 Brent price is significant psychologically and practically. It is the level at which energy costs begin to feed directly and rapidly into consumer prices, freight costs, and food production costs across global supply chains.

Reuters had previously reported that commodity vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz have already fallen to roughly six per day against a historical average of 13, meaning the supply squeeze driving the price is real, not speculative.

The European Central Bank was scheduled to meet on Thursday with a rate hike widely expected, according to Schwab, complicating the ECB’s task: rate hikes fight inflation but slow growth at precisely the moment Gulf war disruptions are already applying economic brakes.

ALSO READ: Fed Govt Pushes Oil Marketers To Cut Petrol Prices As Crude Oil Falls

The US Federal Reserve faces the same dilemma, with Thursday’s PPI data expected to show further upstream price pressure feeding through the pipeline.

Nigeria sits at a uniquely complicated intersection of this crisis. As Africa’s largest oil producer, Nigeria benefits directly from elevated crude prices; every dollar above $70 per barrel adds meaningfully to government revenues and the NNPC’s balance sheet.

But Nigeria is simultaneously a net importer of refined petroleum products, meaning that the same $100 oil that fills the federation account also raises the cost of petrol, diesel, kerosene, and aviation fuel that millions of Nigerians and Nigerian businesses depend on daily.

The naira’s weakness amplifies this pain further: imported refined products become more expensive in local currency terms as oil prices rise in dollars.

Nigeria’s policymakers must move urgently to accelerate the completion of the Dangote Refinery at full operational capacity and reduce the country’s chronic dependence on imported refined products because as long as that dependence persists, every global oil price spike hits Nigerian consumers twice.

The $100 oil milestone is also a signal that Nigeria’s long-delayed push for domestic refining capacity is not just an economic aspiration but a national security imperative, one that cannot be deferred any longer without real cost to ordinary Nigerians at the fuel pump and at the market.

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Aishatu Osisanya

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